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Latvia VS Poland

Latvia and Poland meet at Daugavas Stadionā, in a match for this stage of the EC Qualification (Qualifying Round). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Latvia

After 6 losses, the home team is currently in the 6th position, with no points won. In the last match, they have lost (0‑2) at home against FYR Macedonia, after in the previous round they have lost (6‑0) in an away match against Austria. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses at their stadium. Latvia has won 1, tied 2 and lost 5 of the last 8 home matches.

They have lost the last 6 matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 6 matches, and their offense needs to do better, since they haven’t scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 15 matches, and have never reached half‑time in front. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The Latvian team is in the bottom of the group, the team has failed to score within the competition so far. Even playing as the home team in this next match they will face many difficulties as it will face the leader of its group. For this reason it will be important to change their posture on the pitch. In the last round, Latvia were defeated away from home by Macedonia by 2-0. The coach should not have major missing players for this confrontation.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Vaņins, V. Jagodinskis, M. Ošs, V. Maksimenko, K. Dubra, O. Laizāns, R. Rugins, M. Ķigurs, J. Ikaunieks, V. Gutkovskis, D. Rakels.

Analysis of Poland

The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 13 points won, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have lost an away match against Slovenia by (2‑0). In the last round, they have tied a home match against Austria by (0‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 6 away matches Poland has won 3, tied 2 and lost 1. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 1 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

So far, Poland are leading the group and are hoping to stay at the top of the standings. The goal is to add the three points in this next match, as it will be acting against a technically very weak national team. In the last round, Poland only managed a home draw against Austria by 0-0. The coach should go to the field with a very competitive team.

Confirmed Lineup: W. Szczęsny, J. Bednarek, T. Kędziora, K. Glik, M. Klich, M. Rybus, G. Krychowiak, S. Szymański, P. Zieliński, K. Grosicki, R. Lewandowski.

Betting suggestion:

Needing to score points to improve their placement in the competition, the Latvian team will have to improve their performance on the pitch. Poland have full conditions to leave the field with the three points as it is more qualified, so it should head first. Because of this we expect a busy game with a good chance of goals, so we will bet that more than 2.5 goals will occur by the end of the 90 minutes.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

EC Qualification - 2020

  • 95% 250 / 262 Games

  • Home team wins 50.8%
  • Draws 14.4%
  • Away team wins 34.8%
  • Over 1.5 85.2%
  • Over 2.5 61.6%
  • Over 3.5 36.8%
  • Goals 801
  • Goals /match 3.2
  • Goals /match home 1.82
  • Goals /match away 1.38
  • Both teams score 42%
  • Goals after 80' 16.48%
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